Last week’s economic reporting included readings on month-to-month and year-over-year inflation and consumer sentiment. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims were also published.
Month-to-Month Inflation Rises as Year-Over-Year Inflation Slows
The Consumer Price Index for June rose 0.20 percent in June as compared to May’s reading of 0.10 percent growth and expectations of 0.30 percent month-to-month growth. The core CPI reading, which excludes volatile food and fuel sectors, fell to 0.20 percent growth in June as compared to May’s month-to-month reading of 0.40 percent growth.
The year-over-year reading for the Consumer Price Index in June slowed to 3.00 percent growth as compared to May’s reading of 4.00 percent and analysts’ expected reading of 3.10 percent year-over-year growth.
The year-over-year reading for the Core Consumer Price Index showed 4.80 percent growth; analysts expected year-over-year inflationary growth of 5.00 percent. May’s year-over-year inflation reading showed 5.30 percent growth. Year-over-year readings show overall inflation trends without month-to-month volatility.
Rising interest rates did not appear to impact consumers’ enthusiasm. July’s preliminary index reading of 72.60 for the Consumer Sentiment Index was the highest reading published since September 2021. Analysts expected an index reading of 65.50 as compared to June’s reading of 64.40.
Mortgage Rates Nearing 7 Percent
Average mortgage rates rose last week and approached 7.00 percent for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages according to Freddie Mac’s weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. The average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by 15 basis points to 6.96 percent. The average rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages rose six basis points to 6.30 percent. July 13 jobless claims will be published this week.
What’s Ahead
This week’s scheduled economic reporting includes readings on home builder confidence in single-family housing market conditions, and government reporting on housing starts and retail sales. The National Association of Realtors® will release its monthly report on sales of previously-owned homes. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims are also expected.
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About the Author:
Babak Moghaddam graduated from University of Southern California in 1985. He entered the mortgage industry as a compliance auditor at the Bank of New York in 1986 and completed his masters in Business Administration two years later. After seventeen years in the traditional mortgage banking world Babak finally transformed this vision into his own practice in 2002 when he formed Charter Pacific Lending Corp, a mortgage company that has provided over $900 Million in residential real estate loans throughout Southern California. Babak and his team do things a little differently than other mortgage providers. They work as financial advisors, because they have come to realize that a mortgage is a very powerful financial tool. And just like any other financial tool, it should be managed as part of the overall financial management plan to reach every home owner’s long and short-term financial goals much faster. You can contact Babak for a free consultation and strategy session at (800) 322-1217 X103.